基于改良E-PASS评分预测≥75岁老年患者腹腔镜手术麻醉相关不良事件的研究[#]
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鹰潭市人民医院麻醉科

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鹰潭市科技计划项目(编号:20255-211523);


A study on predicting anesthesia-related adverse events in elderly patients aged ≥75 years undergoing laparoscopic surgery based on the modified E-PASS score#
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    摘要:

    目的:探究改良生理能力与手术应激评估(E-PASS)评分系统对≥75岁老年腹腔镜手术患者麻醉相关不良事件的预测价值,明确该类患者麻醉相关不良事件的独立危险因素。方法:本次临床研究拟选取2025年1月到2025年12月于我院行腹腔镜手术的≥75岁老年患者60例为研究对象,术前均行改良E-PASS评分评估,记录患者一般资料、围术期指标,术后持续监测72h内麻醉相关不良事件发生情况。根据不良事件的发生与否,将研究对象划分为发生组(21例)和未发生组(39例),对比两组改良E-PASS评分及临床指标差异;采用Spearman秩相关分析改良E-PASS评分与不良事件严重程度的相关性;通过ROC曲线分析改良E-PASS评分对不良事件的预测价值;运用多因素Logistic回归模型,对不良事件的独立危险因素进行筛选分析。结果:60例患者术后72h内麻醉相关不良事件发生率为35.00%(21/60);ROC曲线分析显示,PRS、SSSf、CRSf以及联合诊断的AUC分别为0.783、0.758、0.626、0.862。多因素Logistic回归结果提示,在≥75岁接受腹腔镜手术的老年患者中,年龄、手术时间及CRSf与麻醉相关不良事件的发生存在独立关联。结论:经改良的E-PASS评分在预测≥75岁老年患者腹腔镜手术麻醉相关不良事件方面准确性较高,可为临床早期筛查高风险患者提供参考;此外,年龄、手术时间及CRSf属于独立影响因素,术前应重点关注以优化围术期管理。

    Abstract:

    Objective:To investigate the predictive value of the modified Estimation of Physiologic Ability and Surgical Stress (E-PASS) score system for anesthesia-related adverse events (ARAEs) in elderly patients (≥75 years) undergoing laparoscopic surgery, and to identify the independent risk factors for ARAEs in this patient population.Methods: This clinical study planned to enroll 60 elderly patients (≥75 years) who were scheduled for laparoscopic surgery in our hospital from January 2025 to December 2025. All patients underwent preoperative assessment using the modified E-PASS scoring system. General patient data and perioperative indicators were recorded. Patients were monitored for 72 hours postoperatively for the occurrence of ARAEs. Based on the incidence of ARAEs, patients were divided into an occurrence group (n=21) and a non-occurrence group (n=39). The differences in modified E-PASS scores and clinical indicators between the two groups were compared. Spearman rank correlation analysis was used to analyze the correlation between modified E-PASS scores and the severity of ARAEs. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was employed to evaluate the predictive value of the modified E-PASS scores for ARAEs. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to screen for independent risk factors for ARAEs.Results:The incidence of ARAEs within 72 hours postoperatively was 35.00% (21/60) among the 60 patients. ROC curve analysis revealed that the Area Under the Curve (AUC) for Preoperative Risk Score (PRS), surgical stress score for the formula (SSSf), comprehensive risk score for the formula (CRSf), and the combined diagnosis were 0.783, 0.758, 0.626, and 0.862, respectively. Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified age, operation time, and CRSf as independent influencing factors for ARAEs in elderly patients (≥75years) undergoing laparoscopic surgery.Conclusion:The modified E-PASS scoring system has a high predictive value for ARAEs in elderly patients (≥75 years) undergoing laparoscopic surgery and can assist in the early clinical identification of high-risk patients. Furthermore, age, operation time, and CRSf are independent influencing factors that should be given special attention preoperatively to optimize perioperative management.

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  • 收稿日期:2026-06-01
  • 最后修改日期:2026-08-07
  • 录用日期:2026-09-07
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