不同年龄组人群SII联合HCAR预测慢性肾病不良预后的最佳切点值探讨及验证
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南城县总医院南城县人民医院

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抚州市社会发展指导性科技计划(编号:抚科社字〔2024〕6号147);


To explore and verify the optimal cut-off value of SII combined with HCAR in predicting the poor prognosis of chronic kidney disease in different age groups#
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    目的:探究不同年龄组全身免疫炎症指数(Systemic immune - inflammation index,SII)、超敏C反应蛋白/白蛋白比值(hypersensitive C-reactive protein to albumin ratio,HCAR)预测慢性肾病(Chronic Kidney Disease, CKD)不良预后的最佳切点值。方法:回顾性分析2024年01月~2024年12月本院收治的80例CKD患者为研究对象,分为预后良好组和预后不良组,将预后不良患者分为<60岁组和≧60岁组。观察患者的SII、HCAR变化,评估SII联合HCAR对不同年龄组CKD不良预后的预测价值。结果:预后不良组患者的SII和HCAR水平均高于预后良好组(P<0.05);≥60岁组的不良预后患者高于<60岁组(P<0.05)。SII和HCAR水平升高是影响不同年龄组CKD不良预后的危险因素(P<0.05)。SII、HCAR水平预测不同年龄组CKD不良预后的曲线下面积(Area Under the Curve,AUC)分别为0.661、0.649,联合预测的AUC为0.773,三者曲线下面积差异有统计学意义(P<0.05);约登指数分别为0.325、0.350。结论:SII联合HCAR可以预测不同年龄人群CKD不良预后,在高年龄不良预后CKD中水平升高。

    Abstract:

    Objective : To explore the optimal cut-off values of systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and hypersensitive C-reactive protein to albumin ratio (HCAR) in predicting the poor prognosis of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in different age groups. Methods : A retrospective analysis of 80 patients with CKD admitted to our hospital from January 2024 to December 2024 was divided into a good prognosis group and a poor prognosis group. The patients with poor prognosis were divided into < 60 years old group and ≧ 60 years old group. The changes of SII and HCAR in patients were observed, and the predictive value of SII combined with HCAR on the poor prognosis of CKD in different age groups was evaluated.Results : The levels of SII and HCAR in the poor prognosis group were higher than those in the good prognosis group (P< 0.05). The patients with poor prognosis in the ≥ 60 years old group were higher than those in the < 60 years old group (P< 0.05). Elevated SII and HCAR levels were risk factors for poor prognosis of CKD in different age groups (P< 0.05). The area under the curve of SII and HCAR levels in predicting the poor prognosis of CKD in different age groups was 0.661 and 0.649, respectively, and the AUC of combined prediction was 0.773. The difference in the area under the curve was statistically significant (P< 0.05). The Youden index was 0.325 and 0.350, respectively. Conclusion : SII combined with HCAR can predict the poor prognosis of CKD in different age groups, and the level is increased in CKD with poor prognosis in older age.

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严云.不同年龄组人群SII联合HCAR预测慢性肾病不良预后的最佳切点值探讨及验证[J].四川生理科学杂志,2025,47(11):

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  • 收稿日期:2025-06-09
  • 最后修改日期:2025-09-01
  • 录用日期:2025-09-29
  • 在线发布日期: 2025-11-18
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